Tag Archives: eclectic,

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? by Philip E. Tetlock
English | 2006 | ISBN: 0691128715, 0691123020 | 352 pages | EPUB | 5 MB

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox–the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events–is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits–the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.

Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making.
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Chicago For Dummies; 4 edition

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Chicago For Dummies by Laura Tiebert
English | July 30, 2007 | ISBN: 0470124806 | 314 Pages | PDF | 4 MB
Years ago, when Frank Sinatra sang the praises of "my kind of town," he was saluting Chicago. Chicago is still a truly vibrant and eclectic city that constantly reinvents itself. Cosmopolitan yet not elitist, sophisticated in some ways yet refreshingly brash in others, Chicago is wonderfully entertaining and welcoming.

Chicago For Dummies; 4 edition
There’s plenty to do and this guide clues you in with the latest info on:
Four options for exploring the city
Five day trips to nearby attractions
Accommodations, ranging from three of the world’s best luxury hotels to wonderful historic getaways with modern amenities
A shopping guide that covers power shopping along the Magnificent Mile and bargain hunting in unique shops
The action and attractions, ranging from Soldier Field or Wrigley Field to the Hancock Observatory to Navy Pier
Restaurants, including everything from elegant to family-style, and from Chicago’s famous deep-dish pizza to all kinds of ethnic cuisine
Intriguing architecture and incredible museums, including the Adler Planetarium, the Shedd Aquarium, the Field Museum of Natural History, and the Art Institute of Chicago
Fantastic outdoor attractions, including Millenium Park, Grant Park, North Avenue Beach, two great zoos, and more
What to do when the sun goes down, whether you like the blues, ska, or hip-hop… the hot night spots or great theater
Culture, ranging from Lyric Opera and the Chicago Symphony Orchestra to The Second City and Improv Olympics
Sports—baseball, football, basketball, hockey, and more—in a city of notoriously passionate fans
Like every For Dummies travel guide, Chicago For Dummies, 4th Edition, includes:

Down-to-earth trip-planning advice
What you shouldn’t miss — and what you can skip
The best hotels and restaurants for every budget
Handy Post-it Flags to mark your favorite pages
With this friendly guide to help you choose from the best sites and attractions, Chicago will surely be your kind of town.
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The New Portuguese Table: Exciting Flavors from Europe’s Western Coast

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The New Portuguese Table: Exciting Flavors from Europe's Western Coast By David Leite, Nuno Correia
Publisher: Cla.rks.on Pot.ter 2009 | 256 Pages | ISBN: 0307394417 | PDF | 12 MB

The New Portuguese Table: Exciting Flavors from Europe’s Western Coast
This is the perfect cookbook for lovers of salt cod, and it just might be the perfect cookbook for those who dislike the mild, Atlantic fish. Leite, a three-time James Beard-award winner and proprietor of the Web site LeitesCulinaria.com, offers a wealth of recipes for the brackish dried fish, including a traditional version of pastéis de bacalhau (salt cod fritters). But cod is but one of the amaazing dishes offered here. By highlighting the eclectic ingredients and modern techniques that define the country today, Leite brings the often-overlooked foods of Portugal center stage. This fully illustrated book begins with an extensive glossary of Portuguese staples, plus a port primer and an introduction to Madeira, and ends with a chapter devoted to workhorse sundries such as fiery piri-piri paste and smoked paprika oil. Along the way home cooks are introduced to a delectable jumble of dishes that range from classic to contemporary.
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A Gospel Synopsis of the Greek Text of Matthew, Mark and Luke: A Comparison of Codex Bezae and Codex Vaticanus

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A Gospel Synopsis of the Greek Text of Matthew, Mark and Luke: A Comparison of Codex Bezae and Codex Vaticanus (New Testament Tools, Studies and Documents, Book 45) by Jenny Read-Heimerdinger and Josep Rius-Camps
English, Greek | 2014 | ISBN: 900426213X | 652 pages | PDF | 7 MB

A Gospel Synopsis of the Greek Text of Matthew, Mark and Luke: A Comparison of Codex Bezae and Codex Vaticanus
The aim of this new Gospel Synopsis is to enhance the study of the Synoptic Gospels and provide insights into the synoptic problem through a clear presentation of the Greek text. Jenny Read-Heimerdinger and Josep Rius-Camps set out the Gospels of Matthew, Mark and Luke in turn, comparing each line by line with the other two.
A further innovative feature is that the text is presented according to two important Gospel manuscripts, Codex Bezae and Codex Vaticanus, rather than the usual eclectic edition of the Greek New Testament. Thus, not only are the differences between the Gospels clearly visible but also, the complexity of their relationship is more easily identified through the comparison of two divergent manuscripts representative of distinct traditions.
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